The International Financial System and Its Discontents: China, Argentina, and the Contestation of Western-led Institutions


Abstract


As China’s economic rise unfolded over the last two decades, its dissatisfaction with the existing architecture of the global financial system has grown accordingly, creating a common ground between the PRC and several actors from the Global South. One manifestation of this convergence has been the proliferation of currency swap agreements between Beijing and many developing countries. This paper investigates whether those initiatives fit into Beijing’s larger strategy of contestation towards the existing Western-led financial system. It does so by looking at the case of Argentina. Two tentative conclusions are drawn: in line with Beijing’s overall contestation strategy, the swap deals do not yield disruptive effects on the current order; however, those arrangements contribute to strengthening China’s position and, by offering an alternative to other dissatisfied actors, they bear the potential to modify the architecture of the international financial system over the long run.


DOI Code: 10.1285/i20398573v8n2p247

Keywords: China; Contestation; International Financial System; Argentina; Currency Swap Agreements

References


Actis, E., & Creus, N. M. (2015). Argentina vs. los fondos buitres: El rol de Estados Unidos y la tesis de la disciplina financiera. Anuario en Relaciones Internacionales, 21, 1-8.

BCRA (2009). El Banco Central de China y el Banco Central de la República Argentina establecieron un acuerdo de swap de monedas, Comunicado No. 49465, 15 April, last accessed 7 December 2022, http://www.bcra.gob.ar/Pdfs/comytexord/P49465.pdf

BCRA (2014). Acuerdo de Swap de monedas entre el BCRA y el Banco Central de China, Comunicado No. 50421, 18 July, last accessed 7 December 2022, http://www.bcra.gob.ar/Pdfs/comytexord/P50421.pdf

BCRA (2015). Conversión a dólares entre el BCRA y el Banco Central de China, Comunicado No. 50675, 22 December, last accessed 7 December 2022, http://www.bcra.gob.ar/Pdfs/comytexord/P50675.pdf

BCRA (2017). El Banco de la República Popular de China y el Banco Central de la República Argentina renovaron hoy su acuerdo bilateral de swap de monedas, Noticias, 18 July, last accessed 7 December 2022, http://www.bcra.gov.ar/noticias/Renovacion_swap_china.asp

BCRA (2018). Acuerdo Suplementario al Acuerdo Bilateral de Swap de Monedas entre el Banco Central de la República Argentina y el Banco Popular de China, 2 December, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://tratados.cancilleria.gob.ar/tratado_ficha.php?id=kp6nnJM=

Bernal-Meza, R., & Zanabria, J. M. (2020). A Goat’s Cycle: The Relations Between Argentina and the People’s Republic of China During the Kirchner and Macri Administrations (2003–2018). In R. Bernal-Meza & L. Xing (Eds.), China-Latin American Relations in the 21st Century (pp. 111-145). Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-35614-9_5

Boughton, J. M. (2000). From Suez to Tequila: The IMF as crisis manager. The economic journal, 110(460), 273-291. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0297.00501

Bowles, P., & Wang, B. (2013). Renminbi Internationalization: A Journey to Where? Development and Change, 44(6), 1363-1385. https://doi.org/10.1111/dech.12058

Brenta, N., & Larralde, J. (2018). La internacionalización del renminbi y los acuerdos de intercambio de monedas entre Argentina y China, 2009–2018. Revista Ciclos, 25(51), 55-84.

Brenta, N., & Larralde, J. (2019). El swap chino, condicionado al stand by del FMI. Fide – Fundación de Investigaciones para el Desarrollo, 389, 26-29.

Breslin, S. (2018). Global Reordering and China’s Rise: Adoption, Adaptation and Reform. The International Spectator, 53(1), 57-75. https://doi.org/10.1080/03932729.2018.1401804

Busso, A. (2017). El rol de los Estados Unidos en el diseño de política exterior del gobierno de Mauricio Macri: Conceptos básicos para su análisis. Anuario de Relaciones Internacionales, 23, 1-15.

Centenera, M. (2017). China presiona a Argentina: si quiere inversiones debe cumplir antes lo firmado con Kirchner. El País, 17 May, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://elpais.com/economia/2017/05/16/actualidad/1494960417_578330.html

Chey, H. (2015). Renminbi in Ordinary Economies: A Demand-side Study of Currency Globalization. China & World Economy, 23(3), 1-21. https://doi.org/10.1111/cwe.12111

Chey, H., Kim, G., and Lee, D. H. (2019). Which foreign states support the global use of the Chinese renminbi? The international political economy of currency internationalisation. The World Economy, 42(8), 2403-2426. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12794

Chin, G. (2014). China’s Rising Monetary Power. In E. Helleiner, J. Kirshner, and B. J. Cohen (Eds.), The Great Wall of money: Power and politics in China’s international monetary relations (pp. 184-212). Cornell University Press.

Curia, W. (2015). Carta de Macri a China: los acuerdos podrían ser inconstitucionales, Cronista, 13 March, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.cronista.com/economiapolitica/Carta-de-Macri-a-China-los-acuerdos-podrian-ser-inconstitucionales-20150313-0052.html

Diálogo Chino (2015). Macri revisa grandes acuerdos, 27 November, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://dialogochino.net/es/comercio-y-inversiones-es/4292-macri-revisa-grandes-acuerdos/.

Drysdale, P., Triggs, A., and Wang, J. (2017). China’s New Role in the International Financial Architecture: China’s New Role in the Financial Architecture. Asian Economic Policy Review, 12(2), 258-277. https://doi.org/10.1111/aepr.12182

Eichengreen, B. J. (2015). Sequencing RMB Internationalization. CIGI Papers, NO. 69–2015, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.cigionline.org/sites/default/files/cigi_paper_no.69_web.pdf

Eichengreen, B. J., & Kawai, M. (Eds.) (2015). Renminbi internationalization: Achievements, prospects and challenges. Brookings Institution Press.

Eichengreen, B. J., & Lombardi, D. (2017). RMBI or RMBR? Is the renminbi destined to become a global or regional currency? Asian Economic Papers, 16(1), 35-59. https://doi.org/10.1162/ASEP_a_00483

El País (2001). El nuevo presidente argentino suspende el pago de la deuda externa, 23 December, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://elpais.com/internacional/2001/12/23/actualidad/1009062002_850215.html

Fernández, C. (2014). La relación entre Argentina y China es una verdadera política de Estado, 18 July, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.cfkargentina.com/cristina-kirchner-jinping-visita-oficial-china/

Fontdeglòria, X. (2017). Argentina y China retoman parte de los proyectos pactados por Kirchner. El País, 17 May, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://elpais.com/internacional/2017/05/17/actualidad/1495025515_235134.html

Foreign Ministry of the People’s Republic of China (2004). The Argentine Government Recognizes China's Market Economy Status, 18 November, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/gjhdq_665435/3447_665449/3453_664968/3454_664970/200411/t20041118_594148.html

Foreign Ministry of the People’s Republic of China (2014). Xi Jinping Holds Talks with President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner of Argentina and Two Heads of State Announce the Establishment of China-Argentina Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, 22 July, last accessed 7 December 2022, http://eg.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/rdwt/20140717/201407/t20140722_7244048.htm

Garcia-Herrero, A., & Xia, L. (2015). RMB Bilateral Swap Agreements: How China chooses its partners? Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, 22(4), 368-383. https://doi.org/10.1080/16081625.2014.960059

Gerchunoff, P., & Aguirre, H. (2004). La política economía de Kirchner en la Argentina: varios estilos, una sola agenda. DT No. 35/2004 Real Instituto Elcano de Estudios Internacionales y Estratégicos, last accessed 7 December 2022, http://biblioteca.ribei.org/id/eprint/680/1/DT-035-2004-E.pdf

Gerchunoff, P., & Torres, J. C. (1996). La política de liberalización económica en la administración de Menem. Desarrollo Económico, 36(143), 733-768. https://doi.org/10.2307/3467293

Government of Argentina (2005). La Argentina anuncia el resultado exitoso de la oferta de canje, Comunicado de prensa, 18 March, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.argentina.gob.ar/sites/default/files/mfin_comunicado_18_marzo_castellano.pdf

Government of Argentina (2014). Conferencia de prensa del jefe de Gabinete, Comunicado de prensa, 18 July, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.casarosada.gob.ar/informacion/archivo/27723-conferencia-de-prensa-del-jefe-de-gabinete-en-casa-rosada-18-de-julio-de-2014

Government of Argentina (2015). Los mandatarios de Argentina y China firmaron la Declaración para Fortalecer la Asociación Estratégica Integral y convenios de cooperación, Comunicado de prensa, 4 February, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.casarosada.gob.ar/informacion/archivo/28354-los-mandatarios-de-argentina-y-china-firmaron-la-declaracion-para-fortalecer-la-asociacion-estrategica-integral-y-convenios-de-cooperacion

Government of Argentina (2017). Declaración Conjunta entre la República Argentina y la República Popular China, 17 May, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://tratados.cancilleria.gob.ar/tratado_ficha.php?id=kp6kmpY=

Grugel, J., & Riggirozzi, M. P. (2007). The return of the state in Argentina. International Affairs, 83(1), 87-107. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2346.2007.00604.x

Helleiner, E., & Kirshner, J. (Eds.) (2014). The Great Wall of money: Power and politics in China’s international monetary relations. Cornell University Press.

Hooijmaaijers, B. (2019). China, the BRICS, and the limitations of reshaping global economic governance. The Pacific Review, 34(1), 29-55. https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2019.1649298

Hu Jintao (2008). Chinese President Calls for Concerted Efforts to Tide Over Financial Crisis, Remarks at the Summit on Financial Markets and World Economy, 15 November, last accessed 7 December 2022, http://us.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zmgx/zxxx/200811/t20081117_4905029.htm

Hurrell, A. (1990). Latin America and the West. In R. O’Neill & R. J. Vincent (Eds.), The West and the Third World (pp. 153-169). Palgrave.

Hutchison, M. M., & Noy, I. (2003). Macroeconomic effects of IMF-sponsored programs in Latin America: Output costs, program recidivism and the vicious cycle of failed stabilizations. Journal of International Money and Finance, 22(7), 991-1014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2003.09.007

Ikenberry, G. J. (2011). The Future of the Liberal World Order: Internationalism After America. Foreign Affairs, 90(3), 56-68.

IMF (2001). Argentina: Second Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement and Request for Augmentation. Country Report No. 2001/026, 26 January, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2016/12/30/Argentina-Second-Review-Under-the-Stand-By-Arrangement-and-Request-for-Augmentation-3903

IMF (2005). Brazil Announces Intention to Complete Early Repayment of Entire Outstanding Obligations to the IMF, Press Release No. 05/275, 13 December, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2015/09/14/01/49/pr05275

IMF (2010). Board of Governors Approves Major Quota and Governance Reforms, Press Release No. 10/477, 16 December, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2015/09/14/01/49/pr10477

IMF (2016). IMF Launches New SDR Basket Including Chinese Renminbi, Determines New Currency Amounts, Press Release No. 16/440, 30 September, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2016/09/30/AM16-PR16440-IMF-Launches-New-SDR-Basket-Including-Chinese-Renminbi

IMF (2018). IMF Executive Board Approves US$50 Billion Stand-By Arrangement for Argentina, Press Release No. 18/245, 20 June, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2018/06/20/pr18245-argentina-imf-executive-board-approves-us50-billion-stand-by-arrangement

IMF (2021). Direction of Trade Statistics (DOTS). https://data.imf.org/?sk=9D6028D4-F14A-464C-A2F2-59B2CD424B85

Johnston, A. I. (2019). China in a world of orders: Rethinking compliance and challenge in Beijing's international relations. International Security, 44(2), 9-60. https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00360

Kedar, C. (2013). The International Monetary Fund and Latin America: The Argentine Puzzle in Context. Temple University Press.

Kirchner, N. (2005). Palabras del Presidente de la Nación, Néstor Kirchner, en el Acto de Anuncio del Plan de Desendeudamiento con el Fondo Monetario Internacional, 15 December, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.casarosada.gob.ar/informacion/archivo/24862-blank-41184041

Laufer, R. (2020). El proyecto Chino «La Franja y La Ruta» y América Latina: ¿Otro norte para el sur? Revista Interdisciplinaria de Estudios Sociales, 20, 9–52.

Li, L., Mei, D., and Li, R. (2020). The impact of RMB swap agreements on foreign exchange reserve demand. Applied Economics, 52(59), 6453-6467. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2020.1796916

Liao, S., & McDowell, D. (2015). Redback Rising: China’s Bilateral Swap Agreements and Renminbi Internationalization. International Studies Quarterly, 59(3), 401-422. https://doi.org/10.1111/isqu.12161

Long, T. (2018). Latin America and the liberal international order: An agenda for research. International Affairs, 94(6), 1371-1390. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiy188

LPO (2016). China bloqueó las importaciones de aceite de soja porque Macri frenó las represas en Santa Cruz, 6 October, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.lapoliticaonline.com/nota/100727-china-bloqueo-las-importaciones-de-aceite-de-soja-porque-macri-freno-las-represas-en-santa-cruz/

McDowell, D. (2019). The (Ineffective) Financial Statecraft of China’s Bilateral Swap Agreements. Development and Change, 50(1), 122-143. https://doi.org/10.1111/dech.12474

Mearsheimer, J. J. (2019). Bound to Fail: The Rise and Fall of the Liberal International Order. International Security, 43(4), 7-50. https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00342

Medhora, R. P. (2017). Monetary Unions, Regional Financial Arrangements, and Central Bank Swap Lines: Bypasses to the International Monetary Fund? AJIL Unbound, 111, 241-246. https://doi.org/10.1017/aju.2017.63

Mingqi, X. (2016). Central Bank Currency Swaps and Their Implications to the International Financial Reform. China Quarterly of International Strategic Studies, 2(1), 135-152. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2377740016500044

Ministry of Foreign Affairs, International Trade and Worship of Argentina (2017a). Acta de la Reunión – 3° Diálogo Estratégico China-Argentina para la Cooperación y Coordinación Económica, 28 April, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://tratados.cancilleria.gob.ar/tratado_ficha.php?id=kp6kmpk=

Ministry of Foreign Affairs, International Trade and Worship of Argentina (2017b). Acta de compromiso de acuerdos para la construcción de la planta de energía renovable Cauchari solar en la provincia de Jujuy de la República Argentina, 17 May, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://tratados.cancilleria.gob.ar/tratado_ficha.php?id=kp6kmZY=

Nemiña, P. (2018). En Búsqueda de una Inserción Financiera Poshegemónica. La Política Financiera Externa del Kirchnerismo. Semestre Económico, 21(47), 147-173. https://doi.org/10.22395/seec.v21n47a6

Nemiña, P., & Val, M. E. (2018). El conflicto entre la Argentina y los fondos buitres. Consecuencias sobre los procesos de reestructuración de deuda soberana. Cuadernos de Economía Crítica, 5(9), 45-68.

Nemiña, P., & Larralde, J. (2018). Etapas históricas de la relación entre el Fondo Monetario Internacional y América Latina (1944–2015). América Latina en la historia económica, 25(1), 275-313. https://doi.org/10.18232/alhe.v25i1.858

Ortiz, D. G., & Béjar, S. (2013). Participation in IMF-sponsored economic programs and contentious collective action in Latin America, 1980–2007. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 30(5), 492-515. https://doi.org/10.1177/0738894213499677

Oviedo, E. D. (2015). El ascenso de China y sus efectos en la relación con Argentina. Estudios Internacionales, 18, 67-90. https://doi.org/10.5354/rei.v47i180.36432

Oviedo, E. D. (2018). Chinese Capital and Argentine Political Alternation: From Dependence to Autonomy? Chinese Political Science Review, 3(3), 270-296. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41111-018-0092-4

Rapoport, M., & Madrid, E. (2011). Argentina-Brasil: de rivales a aliados. Capital Intelectual.

Scigliuzzo, D. (2014). ISDA declares Argentina in default, bonds extend losses. Reuters, 1 August, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.reuters.com/article/argentina-debt-cds-isda-idUSL2N0Q71O120140801

Smith, W. (1991). State, Market, and Neoliberalism in Post-Transition Argentina: The Menem Experiment. Journal of Interamerican Studies and World Affairs, 33(4), 45-82. https://doi.org/10.2307/165879

Song, K., & Xia, L. (2020). Bilateral swap agreement and renminbi settlement in cross-border trade. Economic and Political Studies, 8(3), 355-373. https://doi.org/10.1080/20954816.2020.1780818

Steil, B. (2019). Central Bank Currency Swaps Tracker, Council on Foreign Relations, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.cfr.org/article/central-bank-currency-swaps-tracker

Sundquist, J. (2021). Bailouts From Beijing. How China Functions as an Alternative to the IMF, Working Paper no. 15, Global Development Policy Center. Boston University.

Weinhardt, C., & ten Brink, T. (2020). Varieties of contestation: China’s rise and the liberal trade order. Review of International Political Economy, 27(2), 258-280. https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2019.1699145

Wylde, C. (2011). State, Society and Markets in Argentina: The Political Economy of Neodesarrollismo under Néstor Kirchner, 2003–2007. Bulletin of Latin American Research, 30(4), 436-452. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1470-9856.2011.00527.x

Xiao, R. (2015). A reform-minded status quo power? China, the G20, and reform of the international financial system. Third World Quarterly, 36(11), 2023-2043. https://doi.org/10.1080/01436597.2015.1078232

Yelery, A. (2016). China’s Bilateral Currency Swap Agreements: Recent Trends. China Report, 52(2), 138-150. https://doi.org/10.1177/0009445515627210

Yu, C. (2019). Internationalization of the RMB in Latin America: An Overview. In C. Yu & Y. Yunxia (Eds.), Sino-Latin American Economic and Trade Relations (pp. 101-132). Springer Singapore.

Zhao, S. (2018). A Revisionist Stakeholder: China and the Post-World War II World Order. Journal of Contemporary China, 27(113), 643-658. https://doi.org/10.1080/10670564.2018.1458029

Zhou Xiaochuan (2009). Reform the International Monetary System. People’s Bank of China, 23 March, last accessed 7 December 2022, https://www.bis.org/review/r090402c.pdf?frames=0


Full Text: pdf

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.
کاغذ a4

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribuzione - Non commerciale - Non opere derivate 3.0 Italia License.